President Trump and US Policies – What Would be the Future Impacts?

The world politics is shifting dramatically with the outcome of the 2016 Presidential Elections in the USA. Already with the United Kingdom’s withdrawal from the European Union, the 2016-Brexit, the course of international politics started to shift in different directions, one of such regards immigration policies. 52% of votes cast were for leaving EU. This puts the UK on a course to leave by March 2019 (https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brexit). In this context, President Trump strongly supported Brexit and in favor of other EU members to follow UK to leave the EU. 

Already in his election campaign and the kicked off his 2020 re-election campaign in Florida President Trump is uncovering more and more how he will make “America Great Again”. For example, Trump’s Jan. 25 executive order entitled “Enhancing Public Safety in the Interior of the United States” signed two days before his travel-ban directive, can result in hundreds of thousands, if not millions, of immigrants being rounded up for deportation, according to Kelly Lytle Hernandez, an immigration historian at the University of California, Los Angeles. The order directs federal agencies to vigorously enforce existing immigration laws and vows to withhold federal funds from jurisdictions that don’t comply (https://www.google.se/amp/s/www.bloomberg.com/amp/politics/articles/2017-02-21/travel-ban-aside-trump-has-vast-legal-arsenal-for-immigrants?client=safari). However, the president’s initial attempt to block travel from seven Muslim-majority countries and refugees was frozen by American courts after it prompted mass protests and chaos at airports nationwide (https://www.google.se/amp/www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/02/18/donald-trump-planning-re-implement-immigration-ban-exempting/amp/?client=safari). This just a beginning of new immigration policy so new trends are expected to follow. 

Apart from immigration policies which is becoming a major issue not only in USA but also in Europe there are major but yet unclear political shifts in the USA. After nearly a month in office, critics indicate that it has been so far the worst and most unsettling start for a new president (https://www.google.se/amp/foreignpolicy.com/2017/02/19/president-trumps-terrible-one-month-report-card/amp/?client=safari). However, it seems that the US-policy regarding Russia, North Korea, the Islamic State and alliances like NATO will remain to be the same as it has been during the previous years of President Obama. Meanwhile, there are new shifts and twists in Iran’s deal and the Israeli-Palestinian issue. 

President Trump and his advisers are developing an alternative strategy on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict that would enlist Arab nations like Saudi Arabia and Egypt to break years of deadlock. The new logic of “outside-in” emanated from, the Palestinians are becoming weak and divided. Also, the improved relations Israel has developed with Sunni Muslim countries including Egypt, Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states, i.e. in opposition to the Shiite nations dominated by Iran. Mr. Trump is reconsidering his plan to move the US Embassy to Jerusalem after Arab leaders told him that doing so would cause angry protests among Palestinians, who also claim the city as the capital of a future state. Also, Mr. Trump have asked Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel to hold back the Israeli settlement plans (http://www.salon.com/2017/02/15/trumps-israel-policy-confusing-to-all-netanyahus-big-white-house-visit-could-get-exciting/). President Trump has send strong bye bye message to ISIS: Donald Trump gives death cult 30 DAYS before he ‘bombs the s*** out of them’.

The new administration is preparing to “repeal all rules” linked to greenhouse gases such as the green power plans of Obama to regulate emissions from energy plants, also those linked to implement the Paris Agreement and to support the UN-SDGs (http://www.climatechangenews.com/2017/01/30/trump-advisor-environmental-movement-a-threat-to-freedom/).

In response of Trump’s “America First” policies and what it called his “divisive delusions on trade,” the Financial Times, the voice of British and to some extent European finance capital, warned that if the Trump administration continued on its present course, it would represent a “clear and present danger to the global trading and monetary system.” (https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2017/02/21/trad-f21.html?view=article_mobile). From NAFTA, to the TPP, President Donald Trump has made trade a central part of his platform. However, these trade agreements are not simple, they are very much complicated and involve confusing issues. Here are some of 11-things you might have heard about Trump’s trade policies. What they actually mean, whether they’re true, false, or somewhere in between. Here also how these trade agreements were previously being discussed and assessed from various angles (http://www.cosmopolitan.com/politics/a8372143/donald-trump-trade-agreements-nafta-tpp/)

Now what would be the impacts of such shifts on globalization, mobility, environment, trade, the UN SDGs and socio-economic developments around the world?

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